Douanes vs Réal Du Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
10º
1º
27
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 1
ASD
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
4 - 0
RFC
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 1
ASP
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ASD
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Réal Du Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
USF
0 - 1
REA
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
RAI
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 0
REA
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
USF
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ASD
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |