Douanes vs Rahimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
10º
1º
48
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 2
ASD
39%
29%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
SON
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ETO
0 - 2
ASD
38%
29%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SET
3 - 5
ASD
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAJ
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rahimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 2
VFC
40%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
RFC
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 0
RAC
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ETO
0 - 0
RFC
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
USF
1 - 2
RFC
40%
28%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |