Cittadella vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 3
CTT
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
REG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
CTT
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 2
VIC
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PES
1 - 1
ACD
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ACD
0 - 3
SAL
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
ACD
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASS
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |