Cittadella vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 1
CTT
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
4 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
AVE
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |