Cittadella vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CTT
2 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
EMP
3 - 2
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
JUS
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
REG
3 - 3
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
TER
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
SPE
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
TER
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
USF
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |