Cittadella vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
CTT
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 2
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CTT
3 - 2
PES
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
CTT
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CTT
3 - 1
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
FRO
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |