Cittadella vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
CTT
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ACP
0 - 1
CTT
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
CTT
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 2
PIS
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
RIM
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RIM
3 - 1
SPA
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
NOV
3 - 1
RIM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
RIM
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |