Cittadella vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 1
PRO
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CUN
0 - 2
CTT
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 3
FCS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
USC
0 - 1
CTT
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 2
FER
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
REN
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
CUN
26%
27%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BV5
2 - 0
REN
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |