Cittadella vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
CTT
3 - 2
PES
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 2
CTT
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 2
CTT
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PIS
3 - 0
BAC
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PIS
4 - 0
GEL
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
PIS
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASA
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIS
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |