Cittadella vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 1
TER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 1
VNZ
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 2
CTT
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 2
USC
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
USF
0 - 3
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
ACD
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
PES
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |