Cittadella vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
23%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 2
CTT
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
CTT
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 2
PIZ
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 3
CTT
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 1
RAV
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ASL
4 - 0
NOV
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ASL
0 - 1
CES
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASL
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASL
72%
20%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |