Cittadella vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 1
CTT
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
POR
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
CTT
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
4 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 3
LEC
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
LEC
51%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
ASF
93%
5%
1%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
COM
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |