Cittadella vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
1 - 0
FRO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
REG
1 - 3
CTT
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
3 - 0
VIC
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
CTT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 0
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LEC
0 - 3
PIS
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
LEC
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 2
FRO
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |