Cittadella vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
63.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 1
CTT
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
RAV
0 - 0
CTT
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CTT
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ASC
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CTT
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |