Cittadella vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
CTT
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
USA
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ABN
2 - 0
CTT
14%
23%
64%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CTT
1 - 0
GER
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 3
CTT
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
FCS
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
REG
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CUN
3 - 1
FCS
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
FCS
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |