Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
CTT
23%
28%
49%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 0
PRG
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 2
CTT
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 2
CTT
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CTT
0 - 2
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
CRO
3 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
ASC
1 - 1
CRO
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VNZ
1 - 3
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |