Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
EMP
0 - 3
CTT
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 0
MON
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 1
FRO
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 1
CRO
15%
21%
64%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 0
GER
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 1
CRO
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 2
LAZ
16%
21%
64%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |