Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
CTT
3 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 2
CTT
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 1
BOL
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TRA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
CRO
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |