Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 2
JUS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAT
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PES
2 - 2
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |