Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 1
CTT
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CTT
2 - 2
LIV
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 1
CTT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 0
CTT
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 2
VER
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
4 - 2
CRO
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
CRO
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 1
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
CRO
74%
17%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |