Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
EMP
0 - 0
CTT
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 2
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
REG
1 - 0
CTT
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 2
VIC
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
SAL
3 - 2
CTT
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 2
BAR
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 0
ANC
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CAG
2 - 1
CRO
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
CRO
3 - 3
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 0
CRO
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |