Cittadella vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
LAZ
4 - 1
CTT
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 2
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
USF
1 - 3
CTT
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
CTT
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
FRO
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EMP
1 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
38%
30%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |