Cittadella vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
ACD
4 - 1
CTT
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 0
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 4
CTT
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 3
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
CTT
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAL
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TER
0 - 0
CAR
32%
30%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |