Cittadella vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 2
CTT
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CTT
1 - 1
PIA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
CTT
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
CUN
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
CTT
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 2
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ACL
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 0
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |