Cittadella vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 2
JUS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAT
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 2
VAR
31%
28%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
3 - 1
PAD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |