Cittadella vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
SOR
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CTT
2 - 1
VIR
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
GIU
0 - 0
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 1
USF
39%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GIU
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 0
RIM
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SOR
0 - 1
BEN
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAD
32%
29%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |