Cittadella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
3 - 3
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
3 - 0
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 4
CTT
4%
14%
82%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 2
POR
73%
16%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
CTT
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 0
SPE
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
5 - 0
PRO
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 5
SAM
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
FER
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ASC
2 - 1
SPE
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |