Cittadella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NUO
2 - 0
CTT
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CTT
3 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRO
0 - 0
CTT
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
VER
4 - 0
CTT
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 0
USC
42%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 4
SPE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 1
VNZ
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 3
SPE
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |