Cittadella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
CTT
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 0
PES
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
ACD
0 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
ASC
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PRG
3 - 0
SPE
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
49%
28%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
TER
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 2
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |