Cittadella vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ABN
2 - 0
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 1
BRE
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 0
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
CTT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FRO
2 - 1
CTT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
ANC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 1
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |