Cittadella vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BV5
1 - 1
CTT
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CTT
5 - 3
FCS
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
CTT
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
USA
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
REG
1 - 4
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
REG
17%
26%
57%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
CUN
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
REG
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |