Cittadella vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CTT
4 - 2
REG
49%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
CTT
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
CTT
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 2
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ACP
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
SAS
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |