Cittadella vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
CTT
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
LIV
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
TER
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ACL
3 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 2
TER
21%
23%
57%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
ACL
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |