Cittadella vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASL
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 3
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIM
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
ARZ
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |