Chatou vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
3º
35
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chatou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 0
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
DIV
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
CHA
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
ALE
39%
23%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
LMU
57%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
AGC
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OIS
1 - 1
CAE
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
VHO
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEH
3 - 1
CAE
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
DIE
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |