Chatou vs Caen II analysis

Chatou Caen II
22 ELO 38
4.5% Tilt -2%
8600º General ELO ranking 6955º
283º Country ELO ranking 187º
ELO win probability
16.9%
Chatou
18%
Draw
65.1%
Caen II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
Chatou
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.1%
Win probability
Caen II
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chatou
+8%
+3%
Caen II

Points and table prediction

Chatou
Their league position
Caen II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Villers Houlgate CF
52
52
100%
Alençon
50
50
100%
Chatou
44
44
100%
Caen II
39
39
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
38
38
100%
Dives
36
36
100%
Caen PTT
35
35
100%
Dieppe
34
34
100%
FC Flérien
33
33
100%
AG Caennaise
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Oissel
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Le Havre II
12º
29
29
12º
100%
QRM II
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Les Mureaux
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chatou
Caen II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chatou
Caen II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chatou
Chatou
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
ALE
Alençon
0 - 2
Chatou
CHA
68%
17%
15%
20 28 8 0
11 Nov. 2023
CHA
Chatou
1 - 1
QRM II
QUE
39%
22%
39%
20 24 4 0
04 Nov. 2023
CHA
Chatou
2 - 0
AG Caennaise
AGC
32%
22%
46%
18 24 6 +2
21 Oct. 2023
OIS
Oissel
1 - 2
Chatou
CHA
71%
17%
12%
17 28 11 +1
07 Oct. 2023
CHA
Chatou
4 - 6
Villers Houlgate CF
VHO
40%
22%
38%
18 20 2 -1

Matches

Caen II
Caen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
CAE
Caen II
5 - 0
AG Caennaise
AGC
75%
14%
10%
38 24 14 0
11 Nov. 2023
OIS
Oissel
0 - 1
Caen II
CAE
20%
21%
59%
37 28 9 +1
04 Nov. 2023
CAE
Caen II
0 - 1
Villers Houlgate CF
VHO
80%
12%
8%
37 20 17 0
22 Oct. 2023
LEH
Le Havre II
1 - 2
Caen II
CAE
28%
22%
50%
37 30 7 0
07 Oct. 2023
CAE
Caen II
1 - 2
Dieppe
DIE
72%
17%
11%
37 29 8 0