AS Castello vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
LUZ
13%
17%
71%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
VED
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAV
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
PER
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 0
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 1
PER
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 4
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 0
LUG
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |