AS Castello vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
TEA
38%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
LUZ
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 4
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 2
GOL
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
KUS
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
7 - 0
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
BEL
10%
20%
70%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
22%
19%
59%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |