SSC Bari vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
REG
1 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
SIC
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
5 - 2
RIE
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAR
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
BAR
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
REG
1 - 2
FRA
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
CAT
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
FRA
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |