Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 4-1
SSC Bari vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NUO
4 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PIS
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 3
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TER
0 - 1
ASC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |