SSC Bari vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 2
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
SAS
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
BAR
19%
26%
55%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
LIV
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |