SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 1
BAR
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 2
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 4
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
3 - 0
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 4
TRA
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAG
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |