SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
41%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TRE
2 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
MOD
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EMP
2 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |