SSC Bari vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
BAR
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEO
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TRA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |