SSC Bari vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PES
0 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |