SSC Bari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 4
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
6 - 2
LEO
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
TER
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CES
3 - 0
LAT
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SAL
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |