Aris Petroupolis vs Thyella D Rafina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
42
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 1
KER
11%
18%
72%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
ASP
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASP
3 - 1
POR
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +5 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AAO
2 - 1
ASP
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Thyella D Rafina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
AAP
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
RAF
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
ETH
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 0
RAF
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AIS
2 - 2
RAF
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |