Aris Petroupolis vs Marko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+123%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
46
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
ASP
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
ANK
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 3
ASP
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
RAF
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +4 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 1
KER
11%
18%
72%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
AAP
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 2
FCM
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
FCM
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 0
ANK
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 5
FCM
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |