Aris Petroupolis vs Agios Nikolaos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
73.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
35
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 3
ASP
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
RAF
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +4 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 1
KER
11%
18%
72%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
ASP
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASP
3 - 1
POR
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +5 |
Matches
Agios Nikolaos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 1
AAP
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
APP
2 - 2
ANK
44%
24%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 0
ANK
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 1
ETH
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 0
ANK
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |