AS Ariana vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SEL
4 - 1
ASA
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
CRO
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ENS
2 - 0
ASA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
5 - 1
ASA
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
OUE
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
CRO
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 1
SPO
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 0
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 4
LAN
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
CRO
44%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |